The 2026 FIFA World Cup draw offered not one, but two moments that, for decades, would have been unthinkable. Portugal—European powerhouse, home to Cristiano Ronaldo’s legacy—sharing a group-stage conversation with the Democratic Republic of Congo. Spain—tiki-taka royalty, World Cup champions—drawn alongside Cape Verde, a tiny island nation that only a generation ago was a football afterthought. These are not ceremonial sacrificial lambs. These are competitive threats, legitimate narratives, and commercial goldmines. Neither the DRC nor Cape Verde qualified by accident. They qualified because FIFA, belatedly and imperfectly, understood that growing the pie benefits everyone—more viewers, more unpredictable storylines, more grassroots investment, and ultimately, more revenue for the entire ecosystem.
Now, cast your eyes to the other side of the global sporting spectrum, and you will find World Rugby—a governing body still mesmerized by the sepia-toned ghosts of the British Empire. While FIFA has democratised the beautiful game, World Rugby has perfected the art of structural apartheid, masquerading as “tradition.” The recent elevation of Fiji and Japan to Tier 1 status is not a victory; it is a performative crumb thrown from a banquet table that Tonga and Samoa are not even allowed to approach. This is colonialism rebranded—not with flags and cannons, but with broadcasting rights, fixture calendars, and centralised voting blocs.
Let us be brutally clear about the numbers. Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga produce more professional rugby talent per capita than any nation on earth. They are the lifeblood of the global game—the entertainers, the innovators, the teams that play with “reckless abandonment” because they have nothing to lose and everything to prove. Yet, while their players fill the starting XVs of Australia, New Zealand, and France, their national unions are left to beg for scraps. They are granted one-off tests against Tier 1 nations once a blue moon, usually at neutral venues that extract maximum revenue for the host union and minimum investment back into Pasifika grassroots. This is not neglect; it is exploitation. It is the extraction of human capital without the repatriation of financial capital—the very essence of neocolonial economic theory.
World Rugby’s defense is always the same: “We need to protect the integrity of the Rugby Championship and the Six Nations.” Protect what, exactly? A closed shop of old money where the same six European nations and the same three southern hemisphere aristocrats rotate the same trophies, while the rest of the world is fed a diet of one-off friendlies that are forgotten by Monday? Contrast this with FIFA’s expanded World Cup. The tournament is richer, not poorer, for the inclusion of minnows. A Spain–Cape Verde clash is no longer a foregone conclusion; it is a stage for the world to discover new heroes like Cape Verde’s 40-year old Josimar Dias-Vozinha . The global fanbase has exploded because fans in Kinshasa, Praia, Tbilisi, and Doha now have a stake in the narrative. They buy jerseys, they watch broadcasts, they inspire children. Rugby, by contrast, is cannibalising its own future by confining its “product” to a nostalgic cartel.
The hypocrisy is suffocating. World Rugby finally admits Fiji and Japan to the elite table, yet Samoa and Tonga—who have beaten Tier 1 nations in recent World Cups—remain in the “doldrums.” Why? Because they do not offer lucrative television markets. That is the new colonialism: economic viability over sporting merit. It is the loudspeaker of the Global North dictating terms to the Global South, not with gunboats, but with broadcast schedules and ranking algorithms that deliberately starve tier-two nations of the regular, high-intensity fixtures required to climb the ladder.
If World Rugby had even a fraction of FIFA’s strategic foresight, they would mandate that every Tier 1 nation must play a minimum of three away Tests in the Pasifika or emerging African nations per four-year cycle, with all gate revenue shared 50-50. They would scrap the Nations Cup proposal designed to entrench the status quo, and instead adopt a genuine promotion-relegation system for the Six Nations and Rugby Championship. They would redirect the surplus from the World Cup—a tournament that survives on the passion of Pasifika and African fans—into high-performance academies in Nuku’alofa, Apia, and even Kenyan outposts, rather than into the bloated administrative coffers of London and Dublin.
FIFA is far from perfect; corruption and politics have stained its history. But on the fundamental question of growth, FIFA has embraced the reality that the future of sport is multilateral. The Portugal–DRC and Spain–Cape Verde fixtures are harbingers of football’s vibrant, chaotic, and inclusive future. Rugby’s equivalent—a potential Samoa vs. England or Tonga vs. France clash in a pool stage—is treated by World Rugby as a risk to be managed, rather than an opportunity to be celebrated. Until World Rugby unshackles itself from this institutionalised prejudice, until it redistributes wealth and fixtures with the same vigour it protects its own, it will remain not a world sport, but a colonial relic—beautifully played, but morally bankrupt and commercially stagnant.
The world has moved on. Rugby has not. And that silence from the Pasifika and the broader Global South is not acceptance; it is the sound of a game slowly suffocating its own soul.